First VarSITI General Symposium
June 6-10, 2016, Bulgaria

Program&Presentations

Presentations from VarSITI2016

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Monday 06 June

Inaugural session chair: K. Shiokawa and K. Georgieva

09:00-09:10 Opening

09:10-09:20 Welcome note

09:20-09:50 Gopalswamy N., SCOSTEP activities: an update

09:50-10:20 Shiokawa K., Georgieva K., SCOSTEP's scientific program VarSITI: Variability of the Sun and Its Terrestrial Impact …  …  … *

10:20-10:40 Roussev I., Synergy between SCOSTEP and NSF's GEM, CEDAR, and SHINE programs …  …  …

10:40-11:00 Haberreiter M., Global cooperation in Solar Terrestrial Physics

11:00-11:30 Coffee break

11:30-12:30 SCOSTEP Award ceremony Chair: M. Shepherd …  …  …

  • Prof. Sami Khan Solanki, Germany
  • Dr. Brett Anthony Carter, Australia …  …  …
  • Dr. Nicholas Michael Predatella, USA …  …  …
  • Dr. Xin Cheng. China
12:30-14:00 Lunch break

Long–term Variation of the Sun and Climate Chair: J. Lastovicka

14:00-14:20 Nandy D., Long-term solar-stellar magnetic variability and its impact on planetary environments …  …  …

14:20-14:40 Obridko V., Georgieva K., Solar activity in the following decades based on the results of the ISSI/VarSITI Forum on future evolution of solar activity, 01.03-03.03.2015 ISSI, Bern, Switzerland …  …  …

14:40-15:00 Zharkova V.V., Shepherd S.J. , Zharkov S.I., Popova E., Two principal components of solar magnetic field and their prediction on multi-millenium timescale

15:00-15:30 Shapiro A.I., Solanki S.K., Krivova N.A. The historical variability of solar irradiance

15:30-16:00 Coffee break

Long–term Variation of the Sun and Climate (continuation) Chair: D. Nandi

16:00-16:30 Mursula K., Long-term evolution of solar wind: Implications to Sun and Earth

16:30-16:50 Lastovicka J., Development of climate of the upper atmosphere and ionosphere and the role of Sun  …  …  …

16:50-17:20 Ogawa Y., Long-term variations and trends in the polar ionosphere and thermosphere

17:20-17:50 Mlynczak M.G., Hunt L.A., The SABER Science Team A reconstruction of infrared radiative cooling of the thermosphere over the past 70 years - implications for long-term solar variability  …  …  …

17:50-18:10 Feynman J., Ruzmaikin A., Centennial Gleissberg cycle as a driver of climate change …
 …  …  …  …  …  …


Tuesday 07 June

Solar and Heliospheric Drivers of Earth-Affecting Events Chair: J. Zhang

08:30-09:00 Tsurutani B., Understanding the Earth's space and atmospheric environment and its response to solar inputs

09:00-09:30 Schmieder B., Aulanie, G., Extreme solar storm based on solar magnetic field … **

09:30-10:00 Shibata K., How extreme can solar events be? …  …  …

10:00-10:30 Coffee break

Solar and Heliospheric Drivers of Earth-Affecting Events (continuation)

Chair: B. Schmieder

10:30-11:00 Miyake F., Masuda K., Nakamura T., Jull A.J.T., Panyushkina I.P., Wachker L., Annual cosmic ray events shown in 14C data of tree-rings

11:00-11:20 Podgorny I.M., Podgorny A., Solar cosmic ray generation by solar flares …  …  …

11:20-11:40 Sokoloff D., Xu H., Stepanov R., Kuzanyan K., Zhang H., Gao Y., Current helicity and magnetic field anisotropy in solar active regions …  …  …

11:40-12:00 Mäkelä P., Gopalswamy N., Xie H., Comparison of three SEP events on 3 November 2011, 26 May 2012 and 5 March 2013 originating from solar backside eruptions …  …  … **

12:00-12:20 Slemzin V., Rodkin D., Shugay Yu., Veselovsky I., Identification of coronal origins of Interplanetary coronal Mass Ejections using plasma ion composition data …  … **

12:20-14:00 Lunch break

Solar and Heliospheric Drivers of Earth-Affecting Events (continuation)

Chair: M. Temmer

14:00-14:30 Zhang J., A Tale of two super-active regions: on the magnetic origin of flares and CMEs …  …  …

14:30-14:50 Roussev I., Lugaz N, Al-Haddad N., Galsgaard K., Downs C., Lin J., Physical Origin of the Drivers of Space Weather at the Sun …  …  …

14:50-15:10 Mierla M., Verdin A., Kilpua E., Rodrigue L., West M., Propagation of coronal mass ejections in different solar wind conditions

15:10-15:30 Gopalswamy N., Akiyama S., Yashiro S , Xie H., Makela P., Michalek G., Consequences of the anomalous expansion of CMEs in solar cycle 24 …  …  …

15:30-16:00 Coffee break

Solar and Heliospheric Drivers of Earth-Affecting Events (continuation)

Chair: N. Gopalswamy

16:00-16:30 Temmer M., Exceptions from the rules - `problem` CMEs

16:30-17:00 Nitta N., Stealth CMEs and stealthy geomagnetic sorms

17:00-17:20 Sanchez-Diaz E.,  Rouillard A.P., Lavraud B., Blelly P.L., Pinto R., Segura K., Tao C.. The very slow solar wind: properties, origin and variability …  …  …

17:20-17:40 Troshichev O.A., Sormakov D.A., Relation of the PC index to the solar wind parameters and to magnetic disturbance indices AL and Dst in course of magnetic storms …  …  …


Wednesday 08 June

Special session on Heliospheric Cataloguing, Analysis and Technique Service (HELCATS)

08:30-09:00 Lugaz N., Heliospheric transients: observations and modeling

09:00-09:20 Harrison R., Davies J., Perry C., Moestl C., Rouillard A., Bothmer V., Rodriguez L., Eastwood J., Kilpua E., Gallagher P., HELCATS - Heliospheric Cataloguing, Analysis and Techniques Service …  …  … **

09:20-09:40 Barnes D., Byrne J., Davies J., Harrison R, Perry C., and HELCATS team members, A Catalogue of geometrically-modeled coronal mass ejections observed by the STEREO heliospheric imagers

09:40-10:10 Coffee break

10:10-10:30 Bothmer V., Mrotzek N., Pluta A., Davies J., Harrison R., Gallagher P., Möstl C., Bockes P., Deriving/cataloguing CME kinematics from modelling multipoint observations

10:30-10:50 Plotnikov I., Rouillard A.P., Davies J.A., and the HELCATS team, Long-term tracking of corotating density structures using heliospheric imaging. Catalogue update

10:50-11:10 Pinto R.F., Rouillard A., Mays L., Simulating and cataloguing the background solar wind from 1 to 21 solar radii

11:10-11:30 Miteva R., Samwel S.W., Costa-Duarte M.V., Danov D., The novel solar energetic particle catalog from Wind/EPACT instrument …  …  …

Data archiving Chair: T. Watanabe

11:30-12:00 Hori T., Miyoshi Y., Miyashita Y., Keika K., Shoji M., Segawa T., Umemura N., Seki K., Tanaka Y., Shinohara I., Data archive and integrated data analysis tools developed by ERG Science Center

12:00-12:20 Yermolaev Y., Lodkina I., Nikolaeva N., Yermolaev M., Catalog of large-scale solar wind phenomena: Current status …  …  …


12:20-14:00 Lunch break

Data archiving (continuation) Chair: T. Hori

14:00-14:30 Watanabe T., Contribution of ICSU-WDS to data-oriented activities of VarSITI

14:30-15:00 Fung S.F., Gurman J.B., McGuire R.E., Roberts D.A., Using NASA Heliophysics multi-mission data support for SCOSTEP/VarSITI …  …  …

Sun to Mud Campaign Study of March 15-17, 2015 Event

15:00-15:30 Webb D.F., Overview of VarSITI ISEST/MiniMax24 Working Group 4 studies on campaign events …  …  …

15:30-16:00 Coffee break

Sun to Mud Campaign Study of March 15-17, 2015 Event (cont.) Chair: D. Webb

16:00-16:30 Cho K.-S., Marubashi K., Kim R.-S., Park S.-H., Lim E.-K., Kim S.-J., Kumar P., Yurchyshyn V., Case studies on connection of CME and interplanetary conditions: September 2014 and March 2015 events …  …  … **

16:30-17:00 Kanekal S.G., Baker D.N., The largest geomagnetic storm of solar cycle 24 on 17 March 2015: radiation belt electron response as observed by Van Allen Probes

17:00-17:30 Carter B.A., Yizengaw E., Pradipta R., Retterer J.M., Groves K., Valladares C., Caton R., Bridgwood C., Norman R., Zhang K., The occurrence of equatorial plasma bubbles around the world during the 2015 St. Patrick's Day geomagnetic storm: Modelling and observations …  …  … **

17:30-17:50 Mironova I., Response of the polar middle atmosphere to electron precipitation events …  …  …

17:50-18:10 Demetrescu C., Dobrica V., Stefan C., Greculeasa R., Besliu-Ionescu D.,The induced surface electric response in Europe to 2015 St. Patrick’s Day geomagnetic storm. Comparison to strongest storms in cycle 23 …  …  …


Thursday 09 June

Understanding the Earth’s space environment and its connection to space weather

Chair: H. Liu

08:30-09:00 Bothmer V., The 3D structure of CMEs - Implications for space weather forecasts

09:00-09:20 Tsurutani B.T., Hajra R., Echer E., Gonzalez W.D., Gjerloev J.W., Extremely Intense (SML ≤–2500 nT) Supersubstorms (SSS) …  …  …  …

09:20-09:40 Veretenenko S., Ogurtsov M..Polar vortex intensity as a modulating factor of cosmic ray influence on atmosphere dynamics and cloud cover anomalies at middle latitudes …  …  …

09:40-10:00 Pilipenko V., Kozyreva O., Soloviev A., Updated ULF Wave Power Index for Space Weather Applications …  …  …

10:00-10:30 Coffee break

Understanding the Earth’s space environment and its connection to space weather

(continuation) Chair: W. Ward

10:30-11:00 Liu H., Concurrent responses of the ionosphere and thermosphere to solar flares

11:00-11:20 Shepherd M.G., Dynamical perturbations of the thermosphere inferred from satellite observations of O(1D) nightglow …  …  … **

11:20-11:40 Rabiu A.B., Eyelade V.A., Bolaji O.S., Adewale A.O. On the spatio-temporal variation of GPS-measured Total Electron Content over Nigeria within equatorial ionospheric anomaly region …  …  … **

11:40-12:00 Chang L.C., Sun Y.-Y., Yue J., Wang J.C., Chien S.-H., Coherent seasonal, annual, and quasi-biennial variations in ionospheric tidal/SPW amplitudes …  …  …

12:00-14:00 Lunch break

Understanding the Earth’s space environment and its connection to space weather

(continuation) Chair: D. Pancheva

14:00-14:30 Knizova P.K., Recent advances in the vertical coupling in the Atmosphere–Ionosphere System - Review of IAGA WG II C/ICMA/SCOSTEP activity …  …  …

14:30-15:00 Ward W., Lübken F.-J., Seppälä A., the ROSMIC Team , Progress in ROSMIC Science …  …  … **

15:00-15:20 Lübken F.-J.,  Scientific highlights from ROMIC …  …  … **

15:20-15:40 Park J., Min K.W., Lee J.-J., Kim H.-J., Hwang J., Kwak Y.-S., Monitoring the high-latitude ionosphere by Science and Technology Satellite-I of Korea …  …  …

15:40-16:10 Coffee break

Understanding the Earth’s space environment and its connection to space weather

(continuation) Chair: P. K. Knizova

16:10-16:40 Lam M.M., Freeman M. P., Chisham G. Atmospheric dynamical responses to solar-wind-driven current density changes in the global electric circuit …  …  …

16:40-17:10 Rozanov E., Energetic particle effects on the atmosphere and climate …  …  …

17:10-17:40 Pancheva D., Mukhtarov P., Siskind D., Global distribution and climatological variability of quasi-two-day waves: results based on NOGAPS-ALPHA reanalysis model and MLS on the NASA Aura satellite measurements …  …  …

17:40-18:00 Charles Lin, Jia-Ting Lin, Loren C.Chang, Yang-Yi Sun, Ionosphere Responses to Stratospheric Sudden Warming: Multiple years observations from FORMOSAT–3/COSMIC and TIE-GCM simulations …  …  …

18:00-18:20 Shiokawa K., Takeo D., Fujinami H., Otsuka Y., Gravity-wave coupling of the mesosphere, thermosphere, and ionosphere observed by the Optical Mesosphere Thermosphere Imagers (OMTIs)

18:20-18:40 Y.Vyklyuk , M. Radovanovic , B. Milovanovic , T. Leko , M. Milenkovi , A. Yamashkin , A. Milanovic Pesic , D. Jakovljevic , S Malinovic-Milicevic. Application of the ANFIS models and parallel calculations for establishing potential causal link Sun-hurricanes …  …  …

18:40-19:00 Medvedeva I., Ratovsky K., Seasonal and year-to-year patterns of atmospheric and ionospheric variabilities over Eastern Siberia …  …  …



Friday 10 June

Modeling the connection from Sun to Mud (and all steps in between)

Chair: O.V. Martynenko

08:30-09:00 Inoue S., Kusano K., An MHD Modeling for the Onset and Dynamics of Solar Eruptions

09:00-09:20 Nikolaeva N., Yuri Yermolaev, Irina Lodkina. The development of magnetic storms driven by different solar wind streams and for various solar wind-magnetosphere coupling functions …  …  …

09:20-09:40 Alexey Isavnin. FRi3D: A Novel 3D Model of CMEs …  …  …

09:40-10:00 Podgorny A.I., Podgorny I.M.. Numerical simulation of the solar flare mechanism …  …  …

10:00-10:30 Coffee break

Modeling the connection from Sun to Mud (and all steps in between) (continuation)

Chair: S. Inoue

10:30-10:50 T.Rollett , C.Moestl , A.Isavnin , M.Kubicka , U.V.Amerstorfer , J.A.Davies , R.A.Harrison. ElEvoHI: a novel CME prediction utility using heliospheric imagery

10:50-11:10 Gulyaeva T.L.. Risk of false alarms in ICMEs, IMF and solar wind predictive capabilities of the major geomagnetic and ionospheric storms …  …  …

11:10-11:30 Al-haddad,  N., Poedts, S., Farrugia, C.J., Lugaz, N., Nieves-Chinchilla, T. . The evolution of CME properties with radial distance: numerical investigation

11:30-12:00 O.V.Martynenko , V.I.Fomichev , G.G.Shepherd , Y.-M.Cho , W.E.Ward , K.McWilliams , E.S.Ince , S.Pagiatakis . Canadian Atmosphere and Ionosphere Model: model status and applications …  …  …

12:10-12:30 Ratovsky K., Shcherbakov A., Alsatkin S., Dmitriev A., Suvorova A., Topside electron density from Irkutsk incoherent scatter radar, COSMIC/FORMOSAT-3 and International Reference Ionosphere …  …  …

12:30-12:50 Chernigovskaya M., Shpynev B., Ratovsky K., Belinskaya A., Stepanov A., Bychkov V., Grigorieva S., Panchenko V., Korenkova N., Leschenko V., J.Mielich.Ionosphere response to the winter stratospheric jet stream in the Northern Hemisphere from vertical radio sounding data …  …  …